PROFILES
THE
FIRST
WOMAN
If she wins the elections on November 8th, Hillary Clinton will achieve a historic feat: she will be the first female president of the United States. She already made history as the first woman candidate for the presidency: "To each young girl that has big dreams: Yes, you can become anything you want, even President", she said at the time.
THE
POPULIST
MAGNATE
An outsider without political experience, eccentric multi-millionaire and television showman, he could become the next President of the United States. The social disenchantment with politicians and the growth of populism play in his favor. As the victory of Brexit surprised, so could Trump surprise the United States.
THEIR TRAJECTORIES
HILLARY FOR AMERICA
HILLARY FOR AMERICA
HILLARY FOR AMERICA
AFP
1947
Hillary Diane Rodham was born on October 26, in Chicago, Illinois. Oldest daughter of the owner of a fabric store, she grew up in a middle-class family with two younger brothers.
1964
With the Young Republicans, she campaigned for Barry Goldwater, then candidate for the White House, but in 1968 she switched to the Democratic Party.
1972
She graduated with a degree in law from Yale University, after having already received a degree from Wellesley College in political science.
1975
She married a university classmate she had met at Yale: Bill Clinton. They had a daughter, Chelsea Clinton, in 1980.
70's - 90's
She continued her political activism by working on election campaigns, such as Jimmy Carter’s. She combined her work as a lawyer with charity activities as first lady of the state of Arkansas, where Bill Clinton was governor (1978-80, 1982-92).
1993-2000
First Lady of the United States during the presidency of her husband, Bill Clinton.
2001-2009
Senator from New York State (the first former First Lady to become a senator).
2008
Candidate in the Democratic primaries for the presidency. She lost to Barack Obama.
2009-2013
Secretary of State for President Barack Obama.
WIKIPEDIA
GETTY
GETTY
NBC
1946
Donald Trump was born on June 14th in the borough of Queens, New York. He was the fourth of five sons of Fred Trump, a real-estate magnate, and Mary Anne MacLeod.
1959
At age 13, his parents sent him to a military academy to correct his attitude. He graduated as a good student and athlete.
1968
Graduated with a degree in Economics from the Wharton School of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania, and began working in his father's business, Elizabeth Trump and Son. His father loaned him 1 million dollars (4 million in today's dollars, adjusted for inflation) to begin his professional real-estate career.
1971
He took over the company, and changed its name to the Trump Organization, which he would use to construct building such as the Trump Tower, on Fifth Avenue in New York, and the Grand Hyatt, along with 18 golf courses.
1977-1992
First marriage, to Ivana Zelnickova, with whom he had three children, Donald Jr., Ivanka, and Eric.
1980-1984
He tried to start a casino business in Atlantic City but couldn't get the necessary permits. He built the Taj Majal Hotel in Atlantic City, which ended up closing in 2016 after several financial setbacks.
1993-1999
Second marriage, to actress Marla Maples, with whom he had a daughter, Tiffany.
1996-2015
Owner of the beauty pageants Miss USA and Miss Universe.
2005
Third marriage, to model Melania Knauss, his current wife, with whom he has a son, Barron.
2006-2015
Host of the reality TV show "The Apprentice", which he produces himself.
NOV 8 2016
Elections for President of the United States
WEAK POINTS
LITTLE LOVED
After losing against an inspiring Barack Obama in the 2008 primaries, the process towards the Democratic nomination in 2016 should have been a cakewalk for her. But 75-year-old Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, with a radical discourse for the Democrats, very nearly sent her off track. Even against a rival as unprepared as Trump, she hasn't been able to lock down a win.
Being the first woman candidate for President could have something to do with it: Trump has a majority of support among men. But in general, more than 55% of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Clinton-- the majority say they don't trust her. Why? Some controversies may have contributed to a certain distrust, but her main problem is, in fact, her curriculum itself. Her long political career is more a liability than an asset. She is seen as part of the Washington "establishment", which is today questioned by a good part of the electorate, and as a representative of a way of doing politics that belongs to the past. Her connections with Wall Street elites, used extensively by Sanders to attack her, also don't help her at all.
Clinton isn't appealing, but the dilemma is finding out whether she is even less appealing than Trump. Indeed, a good part of the vote for Trump is actually an anti-Clinton vote, while 46% of Democrats who will vote for her do so only to prevent a Trump presidency.
TOO CONTROVERSIAL
Despite his meteoric rise in the Republican primaries, where he defeated rivals much more prepared than he, Trump's radical and populist discourse is not to the liking of the Republican Party and its more moderate sectors. Many prominent Republican figures have already publicly denied him their vote, such as the first President Bush.
His discourse has another huge handicap: it alienates the minority vote, which is becoming increasingly more decisive for winning elections in the US.
After saying that Mexican immigrants are rapists and criminals, and promising to build a wall along the border and deport millions of illegal immigrants, Trump has few remaining options to attract Latino voters, who now represent 17% of the total and will be a third of the voting population by 2060. They are 27 million voters (of the 57 million Hispanics in the country), who could be decisive and could be mobilized more than ever before against a candidate who has attacked them directly. According to Pew Research, 66% of Hispanic voters will vote for Hillary Clinton, versus 24% who say they will vote for Trump. Among black voters, the difference is even greater: 85% will opt for Clinton. It's not surprising when you consider that some historic leaders of the Ku Klux Klan, such as David Duke, have pledged to vote for Trump.
THE STRENGTH OF THE NEGATIVE VOTE
The number of voters who are motivated by hostility toward the rival candidate has increased
Among Democratic voters
2016
2008
Among Republican voters
2016
2008
THE CONTROVERSIES
SECRET INFORMATION IN PERSONAL EMAILS
When she was Secretary of State, Clinton used her personal email account to send thousands of work emails, many of which included "classified" content, thus breaking security regulations and putting confidential information at risk, as it is easier to hack ordinary mail accounts. This became known at the beginning of 2015, and the controversy has stayed with her throughout the campaign. At the end of its investigation the FBI decided not to press charges, even though it concluded that Clinton's actions had been "careless". The controversy has added to the perception that she is not trustworthy.
DOUBTS ABOUT HER HEALTH
On the 15th anniversary of the attacks against the World Trade Center in New York on September 11th, Clinton had to leave early, and was on the point of fainting. Afterward he made it known that she had been diagnosed with pneumonia. Concealing her state of health, which had already been questioned by several media, did her no good in the eyes of public opinion.
THE BENGHAZI ATTACK
Clinton was the head of US Foreign Affairs when ISIS attacked the CIA building in Benghazi (Libya), killing Ambassador Christopher Stevens.
She had to appear before a congressional committee to explain why she ignored Stevens' pleas for enhanced security measures.
ATTACKS ON TRUMP VOTERS
SEPT 10 2016
"You could put half of Trump's supporters in what I would call the basket of deplorables: the racist, the sexist, the homophobic, the xenophobic, the islamophobic ... you name it. Unfortunately there are people like that, and he has lifted them up"
Rally in North Carolina
CONNECTIONS WITH WALL STREET AND BIG CORPORATIONS
Hillary earned as much as 21.6 million dollars in speaking fees between 2013 and the beginning of the presidential race in 2015. The majority were speeches paid for by big corporations and banks, like Goldman Sachs, which in 2015 paid her 675,000 dollars for three lectures.
THE VOTERS
WHO IS VOTING FOR WHOM?
% of registered voters who support...
Source: Pew Research Center
* The percentages for Clinton and Trump do not add up to 100
because they do not include people voting for independent candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein
CLINTON
Hillary Clinton has support from a majority of Hispanic and African-American voters. She also has some advantage among women. Her challenge is to capture the vote of pro-Sanders millennial voters, the youngest and most left-leaning Democrats.
Total
Sex
Ethnicity
Age
Estudis
Religion
Among whites
TRUMP
The majority of Donald Trump voters are whites with little education, especially in rural areas. He has support from the majority of evangelical protestants. His challenge is to capture the vote of Hispanic and African-American minorities.
Total
Sex
Ethnicity
Edat
Education
Religion
Among whites
THE PLATFORM
IMMIGRATION
·Push the stalled immigration reform through in the first 100 days in office, to regulate illegal immigrants' access to citizenship.
·Defend Obama's executive orders to legalize immigrants before the Supreme Court.
FOREIGN POLICY
·Strengthen international alliances, like NATO
·Be "tough but intelligent" with rivals Russia and China, to make Russia move forward on non-proliferation, and get Beijing to lean on North Korea.
·Deepen relations with Cuba that were initiated by Obama.
ECONOMY
·Renegotiate commercial treaties.
·Tax reform to make the rich pay "a fair contribution", and cut taxes on small businesses.
·Reform Wall Street to "deal with dangerous risks".
OTHER
·Defend Obama's healthcare reform.
·Regulate access to firearms.
IMMIGRATION
·IMMIGRATION
·Build a wall along the border between Mexico and the USA, and make the Mexican government pay for it.
FOREIGN POLICY
·Deport the 11 million undocumented immigrants that live in the country.
·Recover the use of torture in the fight against terrorism (he even proposed using family members of suspects).
·Military expansion: more soldiers, more planes and warships.
·Restructure NATO and pay less for the security of US allies.
·Withdraw military support for Japan and South Korea.
ECONOMY
·Renegotiate commercial treaties.
·Reduce taxes on middle-class families and companies.
·Eliminate inheritance tax.
OTHER
·Repeal President Obama's healthcare reform.
·Defend the right to bear arms.
THE SURVEYS
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAI
JUN
JUL
AGO
SET
OCT
50
f
d
e
a
g
c
h
b
40
1 DE FEBRER
Arrenquen les primàries demòcrates i republicanes a Iowa, amb poca diferència entre els dos favorits a cada bàndol.
23 DE MARÇ
Trump competeix per la nominació republicana amb Ted Cruz i John Kasich, que obtenen millors resultats contra Clinton a les enquestes.
24 DE MAIG
Trump supera per primer cop Clinton en una enquesta, després d’haver-se quedat ja sol com a únic candidat republicà.
27 DE JUNY
Clinton recupera el lideratge, després d’un primer canvi d’equip de campanya de Trump i que diversos grups republicans s’oposin al seu candidat.
27 DE JULIOL
De nou, un tancament de files dels republicans entorn el seu candidat, ara ja proclamat a la Convenció del partit, li dóna una empenta a les enquestes.
28 D’AGOST
Clinton torna a agafar distància després d’un agost amb polèmiques com la baralla de Trump amb els pares d’un soldat nord-americà musulmà mort a l’Iraq.
19 DE SETEMBRE
Trump aposta per moderar el seu discurs, mentre a Clinton l’esquitxen algunes controvèrsies amb la Fundació del seu marit.
8 D'OCTUBRE
Un vídeo amb comentaris masclistes impacta contra la campanya de Trump. El president de la Cambra de Representants anul·la un acte conjunt. El candidat republicà demana disculpes.
FIRST LADY OR GENTLEMAN
Bill Clinton
If Clinton wins, instead of first lady there will be a "first gentleman" or "first husband": former president Bill Clinton will also make history as the first man to occupy this especially prominent role in the United States. This may open a debate on the traditional idea of a "first lady", which is based on outdated concepts of marriage, and force society to rethink this role. From Eleanor Roosevelt and Betty Ford, through Nancy Reagan and Hillary Clinton herself, the first lady of the US has taken on an increasingly active political role.
Hillary announced in May that, as first gentleman, her husband Bill Clinton "will be charged with revitalizing the economy." She discounted that he would do so as a member of her cabinet, but it is unclear how much power he will have for this task. In any case, if she wins, Hillary and Bill Clinton will be back living in the White House, but with their roles reversed: now it would be her occupying the Oval Office. Bill Clinton did so between 1992 and 2000, with a presidency marked by economic prosperity, the push for free trade, and a failed attempt to reform health care. Although what many remember most is still the Lewinski case.
Melania Trump
With a President Trump, Melania Trump would be First Lady, a 46 year old former model from Slovenia who now has her own line of jewelry.
The third wife of the real estate mogul has already headlined some controversial moments during the campaign:
·She plagiarized parts of a Michelle Obama speech in her speech at the Republican Convention.
·She sued the Daily Mail and a blogger who hinted that she was a prostitute in the 1990s with a modeling agency that provided "female escorts". She denies it.
·Some nude photographs of her were published in The New York Post.
Born in 1970 in Sevnica, Slovenia, Melania began her modeling career at age 16, and worked in both Milan and Paris until she settled in New York in 1996. She met Donald Trump there two years later. They married in 2005 and in 2006 she became an American citizen, the same year their son, Barron William Trump, was born.
THE VICE-PRESIDENT
Tim Kaine
Senator Timothy Michael Kaine of Virginia is a 53-year-old political moderate. He studied law at Harvard University, was a civil rights lawyer and has had a long political career as mayor of Richmond, Virginia, and as deputy governor and governor of his state. When he was young, his Catholic faith led him to become a Jesuit missionary in Honduras.
A ticket for the election campaignWith Kaine, the son of a small businessman and engineer who grew up in Kansas City, Clinton hopes to attract working-class white voters who now prefer Trump. Kaine speaks fluent Spanish, to further strengthen the already favorable Latino vote.
Mike Pence
The governor of Indiana, Mike Pence, is a 57-year-old, far-right politician who was a congressman for 12 years and, as a result, is very familiar with Washington. A devout evangelical Christian, he has approved several abortion restrictions and is an advocate for limited government and fiscal discipline. He is a lawyer born in Columbia, Indiana, and has ties with the ultra-conservative Tea Party movement.
A ticket for the election campaignHis profile could help Donald Trump to persuade conservative voters, who still distrust Trump’s Republican credentials. Pence’s knowledge of Washington can also help them to govern if they win the election in November.
