Oscars
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The Pandemic won't stop the Oscars

It has been the year of closed cinemas and cancelled festivals, of masked filming and endlessly postponed blockbusters. A virus has succeeded where television and digital platforms failed, yet cinema resists and comes back to life. Nomadland's call to resist against a crisis makes it a favourite in an edition with fewer stars than in other years, but which displays diversity and social engagement. Racialised actors hope to make history, Chloé Zhao to end with discrimination against female directors and 'Minari' could make Korean the language of the Academy for second year running. And what about David Fincher's 'Mank', which only a couple of months ago was everybody's favourite? Find out on 25 April. Come in, play and win.

Xavi Serra

Best Picture

ARA's tip Since the Golden Globes, 'Nomadland' has reaffirmed its condition as front-runner for the Oscars in every award ceremony. Its win at the decisive Producers Guild Film Awards and the BAFTAs were only the latest examples. In addition, the preferential voting system also plays in its favour, as it has provided surprises lately rewarding films that have created wide consensus rather than those that have polarised the public, as is the case of its main rival, 'Promising Young Woman'. However, a film that has been popular with viewers and critics alike, such as 'Minari', has a greater chance of causing an upset and leading to a second straight win for a Korean-speaking film.

The Father
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Mank
Minari
Minari
Nomadland
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
The Trial of the Chicago 7

I vote for...

ARA Readers

The Father

{{typeof votacio[1] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[1].percentatge : '0'}}%

Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[2] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[2].percentatge : '0'}}%

Mank

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Minari

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Nomadland

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Promising Young Woman

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Sound of Metal

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The Trial of the Chicago 7

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Best Director

ARA's tip Nomadland' dicrector Chloé Zhao is by far the bookies' favourite for best director. It would be the second time a woman wins this prize in 93 editions - a chance the Academy is unlikely to let pass.

Thomas Vinterberg - Ettore Ferrari / EFE
Thomas Vinterberg - Ettore Ferrari / EFE
David Fincher - Claudio Bresciani / EFE
David Fincher - Claudio Bresciani / EFE
Lee Isaac Chung - George Frey / EFE
Lee Isaac Chung - George Frey / EFE
Chloé Zhao - Nina Prommer / EFE
Chloé Zhao - Nina Prommer / EFE
Emerald Fennell - Facundo Arrizabalaga / EFE
Emerald Fennell - Facundo Arrizabalaga / EFE

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Thomas Vinterberg Another round

{{typeof votacio[10] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[10].percentatge : '0'}}%

David Fincher Mank

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Lee Isaac Chung Minari

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Chloé Zhao Nomadland

{{typeof votacio[13] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[13].percentatge : '0'}}%

Emerald Fennell Promising Young Woman

{{typeof votacio[14] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[14].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Actor

ARA's tip Heath Ledger was the last actor to win a posthumous Oscar for ' The Dark Knight'. The next will, in all likelihood, be Chadwick Boseman, whose early death shocked Hollywood. He is brilliant in his portrayal of trumpetist furious with the injusted of a crooked system.

Riz Ahmed
Riz Ahmed
Anthony Hopkins
Anthony Hopkins
Chadwick Boseman
Chadwick Boseman
Gary Oldman
Gary Oldman
Steven Yeun
Steven Yeun

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Riz Ahmed Sound of Metal

{{typeof votacio[15] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[15].percentatge : '0'}}%

Anthony Hopkins The Father

{{typeof votacio[16] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[16].percentatge : '0'}}%

Chadwick Boseman Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

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Gary Oldman Mank

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Steven Yeun Minari

{{typeof votacio[19] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[19].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Actress

ARA's tip This category seems a two-horse race between Frances McDormand in 'Nomadland' and Carey Mulligan in 'Promising Young Woman'. However, the Screen Actors Guild award to Viola Davis for 'Ma Rainey's Black Bottom' opens up the race. The fact that Davis is the only racialised of the three actress may also help her chances.

Viola Davis
Viola Davis
Andra Day
Andra Day
Vanessa Kirby
Vanessa Kirby
Frances McDormand
Frances McDormand
Carey Mulligan
Carey Mulligan

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Viola Davis Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

{{typeof votacio[20] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[20].percentatge : '0'}}%

Andra Day The United States vs. Billie Holiday

{{typeof votacio[21] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[21].percentatge : '0'}}%

Vanessa Kirby Pieces of a Woman

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Frances McDormand Nomadland

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Carey Mulligan Promising Young Woman

{{typeof votacio[24] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[24].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Supporting Actor

ARA's tip Daniel Kaluuya is the great favourite to win the prize to best supporting actor, partly thanks to the fact that he is running in this category instead of best actor, which would seem better suited to his role in 'Judas and the Black Messiah'. However, this way he is running against Boseman, who seems invincible,

Sacha Baron Cohen
Sacha Baron Cohen
Daniel Kaluuya
Daniel Kaluuya
Leslie Odom Jr.
Leslie Odom Jr.
Paul Raci
Paul Raci
Lakeith Stanfield
Lakeith Stanfield

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Sacha Baron Cohen The Trial of the Chicago 7

{{typeof votacio[25] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[25].percentatge : '0'}}%

Daniel Kaluuya Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[26] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[26].percentatge : '0'}}%

Leslie Odom Jr. One Night in Miami...

{{typeof votacio[27] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[27].percentatge : '0'}}%

Paul Raci Sound of Metal

{{typeof votacio[28] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[28].percentatge : '0'}}%

Lakeith Stanfield Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[29] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[29].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Supporting Actress

ARA's tip This is the hardest category to predict this year. Despite being also nominated for the Razzies, Glenn Close is the favourite, as one the five actresses with the most nominations (8) in the Oscars' History, However, she is also the only candidate not to have won. Her bad run gives hopes to Olivia Colman, who beat Close two years ago, Amanda Seyfried and veteran Korean actress Youn Yuh-jung, winner of the Screen Actors Guild award.

Maria Bakalova
Maria Bakalova
Glenn Close
Glenn Close
Olivia Colman
Olivia Colman
Amanda Seyfried
Amanda Seyfried
Youn Yuh-jung
Youn Yuh-jung

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Maria Bakalova Borat subsequent moviefilm

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Glenn Close Hillbilly Elegy

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Olivia Colman The Father

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Amanda Seyfried Mank

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Youn Yuh-jung Minari

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Best Original Screenplay

ARA's tip The feminist rereading of revenge drama 'Promising Young Woman' is the front-runner, especially after winning in the Writers Guild Awards and the BAFTAs. Her main contender is Aaron Sorkin with 'The trial of the Chicago 7'.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[35] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[35].percentatge : '0'}}%

Minari

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Promising Young Woman

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Sound of Metal

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The Trial of the Chicago 7

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Best Adapted Screenplay

ARA's tip The 'Borat' sequel's win in the Writers Guild Award caused an upset; however, both 'Nomadland' and 'The father' were excluded due to technicalities. Thus, Chloé Zhao is the big favourite to win in the Oscars with 'Nomadland'.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Borat subsequent moviefilm

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The Father

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Nomadland

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One Night in Miami...

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The White Tiger

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Best International Feature Film

ARA's tip Last year, it was clear 'Parasites' would win the Oscars' international prize. This year everything points to a clear victory for 'Another Round', whose director Thomas Vinterberg is also nominated. If so, Vinterberg will soon be toasting to his first Oscar.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Another Round Thomas Vinterberg (Denmark)

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Better days Derek Tsang (Hong Kong)

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Collective Alexander Nanau (Romania)

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The man who sold his skin Kaouther Ben Hania (Tunisia)

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Quo vadis, Aida? Jasmila Zbanic (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

{{typeof votacio[49] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[49].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Documentary Feature

ARA's tip The competition for best documentary has been narrowed down to two very different options: heartrending 'Time'. about a woman who has spent 21 years fighting for her husband, locked up for a crime they both committed, and the disconcerting 'My octopus teacher' by Netflix, which narrates the strange connexion between the director and an octopues in the underwater kelp forest where it lives.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Collective

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Crip Camp

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The Mole Agent

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My Octopus Teacher

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Time

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Best Animated Feature Film

ARA's tip One of the biggest surprises in this year's Oscars would be if 'Soul' did not win best animated film. There is even another Pixar film nominated - 'Onward' - but 'Soul' is one of those films loved by critics and public alike which is destined to win award ceremonies.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Onward

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Over the Moon

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A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

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Soul

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Wolfwalkers

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Best Cinematography

ARA's tip Nomadland's naturalist photography is up against Mank's back and white hommage to classical Hollywood. However, the Academy prefers nominating films in black and white rather than giving them awards: of six nominations in the last eight years, only Roma won. This is the smart money is on Nomadland's Western landscapes.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[60] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[60].percentatge : '0'}}%

Mank

{{typeof votacio[61] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[61].percentatge : '0'}}%

News of the World

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Nomadland

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The Trial of the Chicago 7

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Best Film Editing

ARA's tip The winner of the Best Picture award usually also wins Best Film Editing if it is nominated. This would point once again to 'Nomadland', editer by director Chloé Zhao . However, 'Sound of Metal' has a much more expressive and technically ambitious editing, which makes it much more deserving of an award than 'Nomadland''s flat classicism. Could this be one of the night's surprises? We believe so.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

The Father

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Nomadland

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Promising Young Woman

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Sound of Metal

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The Trial of the Chicago 7

{{typeof votacio[69] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[69].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Original Score

ARA's tip Rather than who will win, the question is what film will they win with. Will Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross win their second Oscar for Soul's electronic passages or for Mank's classic symphonism? The Pixar film seems the front runner, with Jon Batiste adding the jazz rhythms.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Da 5 Bloods

{{typeof votacio[70] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[70].percentatge : '0'}}%

Mank

{{typeof votacio[71] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[71].percentatge : '0'}}%

Minari

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News of the World

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Soul

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Best Original Song

ARA's tip Without big names such as Lady Gaga or Elton John to polarise the vote, the bookies' favourite is Leslie Odom Jr. from 'One Night in Miami' for his hommage to Sam Cooke, 'Speak now'. Its rival is 'Io sì (Seen)', sung in Italian by Laura Pausini and written by Oscar veteran Diana Warren, who has been nominated 12 times but has never one. Maybe this time.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Fight for you Judas and the Black Messiah

{{typeof votacio[75] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[75].percentatge : '0'}}%

Hear my voice The Trial of the Chicago 7

{{typeof votacio[76] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[76].percentatge : '0'}}%

Husavik Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga

{{typeof votacio[77] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[77].percentatge : '0'}}%

lo sì (seen) The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)

{{typeof votacio[78] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[78].percentatge : '0'}}%

Speak now One Night in Miami...

{{typeof votacio[79] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[79].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Costume Design

ARA's tip This category is usually won by costume dramas with actresses in girdles such as Austen adaptation 'Emma', as long as they are also nominated in important categories. In this case, though, it seems the favourites are 'Mank' and 'Ma Rainey's Black Bottom'.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Emma

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Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

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Mank

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Mulan

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Pinocchio

{{typeof votacio[84] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[84].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Production Design

ARA's tip David Fincher's obsessive perfectionism in Mank's reconstructions of 1930s Hollywood seems on track to win this Oscar. The Academy likes to give awards to nostalgic visions of Los Angeles, as was seen last year with 'Once Upon a Time in Hollywood'

I vote for...

ARA Readers

The Father

{{typeof votacio[85] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[85].percentatge : '0'}}%

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

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Mank

{{typeof votacio[87] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[87].percentatge : '0'}}%

News of the World

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Tenet

{{typeof votacio[89] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[89].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Visual Effects

ARA's tip Tenet' is the rival to beat in this race, but 'The Midnight Sky' also has many fans. However, the fact that Christopher Nolan's film was premiered in cinemas amidst the pandemic and not on Netfliz gives it greater chances of success in a year with hardly any blockbusters.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

The Midnight Sky

{{typeof votacio[90] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[90].percentatge : '0'}}%

Love and Monsters

{{typeof votacio[91] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[91].percentatge : '0'}}%

Mulan

{{typeof votacio[92] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[92].percentatge : '0'}}%

The One And Only Ivan

{{typeof votacio[93] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[93].percentatge : '0'}}%

Tenet

{{typeof votacio[94] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[94].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

ARA's tip Viola Davis's make-up in 'Ma Rainey's Black Bottom' might seem over the top but it does its job of defining the character perfectly. "A mask to intimidate whoever goes against her", were María Adell's words in her review for ARA. She is the big favourite to win the Oscar.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

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Emma

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Mank

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Hillbilly Elegy

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Pinocchio

{{typeof votacio[99] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[99].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Sound

ARA's tip The joy of seeing the two sound categories finally reunited comes with an obvious choice for the Oscar. 'Sound of metal' is a film that uses sound carefully as it explains the drama of losing one's hearing. There is very little doubt it will win.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Greyhound

{{typeof votacio[105] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[105].percentatge : '0'}}%

Mank

{{typeof votacio[106] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[106].percentatge : '0'}}%

News of the World

{{typeof votacio[107] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[107].percentatge : '0'}}%

Soul

{{typeof votacio[108] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[108].percentatge : '0'}}%

Sound of Metal

{{typeof votacio[109] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[109].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Live Action Short Film

ARA's tip It would seem having Oscar Isaac as lead would make prison drama 'The letter room' a favourite, yet it is the social awareness of 'Two distant strangers', inspired in the protests over the death of George Floyd, which is the favourite, ahead of 'Feeling through', about an emotive bond developed between a black teenager and a blind and deaf man during a night in New York.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Feeling through

{{typeof votacio[110] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[110].percentatge : '0'}}%

The letter room

{{typeof votacio[111] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[111].percentatge : '0'}}%

The present

{{typeof votacio[112] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[112].percentatge : '0'}}%

Two distant strangers

{{typeof votacio[113] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[113].percentatge : '0'}}%

White eye

{{typeof votacio[114] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[114].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Documentary Short Subject

ARA's tip A love song for Latasha' is dedicated to Latasha Harlingen, a 15-year-old girl murdered in 1991, one of the events that triggered the racial riots in that year. The current social atmosphere in the US makes the short a favourtie, appealing to voters' social awareness.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Colette

{{typeof votacio[115] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[115].percentatge : '0'}}%

A concerto is a conversation

{{typeof votacio[116] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[116].percentatge : '0'}}%

Do not split

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Hunger ward

{{typeof votacio[118] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[118].percentatge : '0'}}%

A love song for Latasha

{{typeof votacio[119] !== 'undefined' ? votacio[119].percentatge : '0'}}%

Best Animated Short Film

ARA's tip Neither Pixar nor Disney are this year's frontrunner: Netflix is the bookies' favourite to win its first Oscar in the category with 'If anything happens I love you', about mourning parents visited by their dead daughter's shadow, who was murdered in a school shooting. Original technique, social critique and goosebumps all around make it a great candidate for the award.

I vote for...

ARA Readers

Burrow

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Genius loci

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If anything happens I love you

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Opera

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Yes-people

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You may change your guesses until the beginning of the awards ceremony, on April 26 at 1.30 am.

Disseny

Ricard Marfà

Programació

Jordi Guilleumas - Marc Funollet